Bazinga+ wrote:also, SOLON is most probobly going to win. also, magsig and springhouse probs be top ten. Also Beckendorff... they got 2nd at their state so even if they do get top ten, the people who beat them will too.
Eh. I think that Beckendorff actually did pretty well, and that Riverwood improved a lot
in comparison to last year. They lost by one point (63 v. 64), and likely could have done better. Aside from Water Quality (which Beckendorff is generally very strong in; they got second at nationals last year) and Disease Detectives (Disease wasn't even that bad; 7th is okay
), everything was top 5. Riverwood dropped a lot of national events (which, of course, they haven't been very strong in [iirc], such as Shock Value and Experimental Design) that they will have to do at nationals. Riverwood's best finish at nationals has been 20th, whereas Beckendorff's is 5th. Of course, a team that has done well in the past does not necessarily do well now/in the future, and in the same manner, a team that has doesn't get top 10 in the past might get it in the future.
However, this is not to say that Riverwood will do bad or Beckendorff will do good. Regardless of the fact that Riverwood did state events, they still showed to be very adept competitors. In my opinion, they have a good chance of breaking top 20-25. I'm not saying that Beckendorff will certainly beat Riverwood, but I'm not saying that they should be counted out.
It should also be noted that Seven Lakes got second to Clements last year at state. SLHS got 6th at nationals, whereas Clements got 30th. State performance, especially in close states like Texas where state events are commonly used, could be (and is) used as a benchmark for national performance, but in my opinion, should not necessarily be considered prophetic or a guarantee of what has yet to happen.
TL;DR: I predict Beckendorff will do just fine.
EDIT: They did.