Just look at the medal counts for China, Russia, and India compared to the US for the competitions like the International Chemistry Olympiad. As for the International Science Olympiad, if there is such a team, the US will probably own the first few years, at least, until teams from other countries start taking it seriously. But then again, what's the point of having the competition when there's maybe two teams outside the US to compete, anyway?I highly doubt that China would be able to beat the U.S. At least any time soon. Granted this is all theoretical anyway. China's education system is not by any means exceptional. For a nation at it's status of development, it is phenomenal, and the high population leads to an abundance of prodigies, however it is not a team of individuals selected from all over the nation, it is a team of one school.US would get clobbered by india and china
This doesn't mean I don't think the U.S. wouldn't be destroyed by others. France and Japan would probably clean up. India is iffy, their education system is poor, however I would not be surprised if they have some exceptional centralized national schools. The United Kingdom would probably also do fairly poorly in comparison to the U.S. because of their relatively poor education system. Sweden would be a big player. Iran would as well, mostly due to the training of young physists for obvious reasons.
On second thought, China actually would probably destroy us as well, if only because of Hong Kong.
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