Unofficial Rankings B

bernard
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby bernard » May 19th, 2016, 1:21 pm

Prediction Contest is now live! See the "official" post here http://www.scioly.org/phpBB3/viewtopic. ... 64#p292764.
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19sawickin
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby 19sawickin » May 19th, 2016, 5:57 pm

This is all my opinion, and is probably very inaccurate
Tier 1 - the main competitors for 1st
Solon (not much to say here)
Daniel Wright (They will probably rebound from 5th; also I'm biased toward them because I saw them firsthand at boyceville and how well they completely demolished the other teams and they beat me at crave :( )
Beckendorff (1st and 2nd last two years, don't see that changing much)
Winston Churchill (don't know them very well but they seem like a potentially very big threat)
Tier 2 - some more teams that are definitely still competitive, but are slightly below than the aforementioned. Most likely will get top 10s
Meads Mill
Muscatel
Piedmont
Longfellow
Magsig
Tier 3 - some wildcards that could definitely break their way in
Springhouse
Marie Murphy
Ladue
Auburn
Dodgen
FYI, Dodgen was only 4 points lower than FSA at state, and the teams were respectively 19th and 20th last year. You would need to group the two together to be accurate. Ladue may or may not be in the wrong tier, too.
Also I'd say Marie Murphy should also be higher, since they were only 7 poitns behind Daniel Wright at state.

And you forgot your own team, who I would also place in your Tier 3.
Hm. Im a bit curious as to why you put Marie Murphy in Tier 3? They've consistently placed very well at Nats (except for two years ago as they didn't make it).

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EastStroudsburg13
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby EastStroudsburg13 » May 21st, 2016, 6:47 am

For this year, I decided to adapt the formula I use as a predictor for PA states to the national tournament. It takes into account state competition size and score, number of total teams in the state, performance of past teams from that state, and placings in previous national tournaments, as well as bonuses for being close to the tournament site and major invitational wins. It's a bit fudgy, especially for teams where I could not find scores, but we'll see how it does!

1. Beckendorff
2. Solon
3. Daniel Wright
4. Winston Churchill
5. Piedmont
6. Meads Mill
7. Marie Murphy
8. Muscatel
9. Gelinas
10. Ladue
11. Longfellow
12. Springhouse
13. Lakeshore
14. Eagle Hill
15. Pembroke Hill
16. Magsig
17. Dodgen
18. Auburn
19. FSA
20. Chippewa
21. Preston
22. Hamilton
23. Bala Cynwyd
24. Community
25. Thomas Jefferson
26. Highlands
27. H.B. duPont
28. Coolidge
29. Russell
30. Clinton
31. Austin Area Homeschoolers
32. Bearden
33. Carnage
34. Archimedean
35. North Bethesda
36. Bellevue Mission
37. California Trail
38. Wachter
39. Galaxy
40. Stoller
41. Paragon Science Academy
42. Albuquerque Area Homeschoolers
43. Lyme-Old Lyme
44. Ames
45. Hyde Park
46. Northshore
47. Casady
48. Fairfield
49. St. Joseph's Catholic
50. Corvallis
51. Frontier
52. Barrington
53. St John Berchmans
54. Teeland
55. Yankton
56. Waynflete
57. LISA Academy West
58. Riverton
59. Huntingdon
60. Germantown
East Stroudsburg South Class of 2012, Alumnus of JT Lambert, Drexel University Class of 2017

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Zioly
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby Zioly » May 24th, 2016, 8:42 pm

46. Northshore
Yes! My team got 38th instead of your predicted 46th! Wow! We are so good! (Sarcasm)
Bottle Rockets: 5th
Ecology: 9th
Hovercraft: 14th
Scrambler: 29th (with a failed run too  ;))
Mousetrap Vehicle
Hovercraft
Ecology
Experimental Design (or other inquiry :P)

...Yes, my profile picture is G2 apEX at the PGL Major Qual.  :lol:

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SenseiSushi
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby SenseiSushi » May 24th, 2016, 9:17 pm

12. Springhouse
Dang, spot on.
Userpage
2014 States: R&M-4th, Sounds of Music-5th
2015 States: Crime Busters-2nd, Green Gen-2nd
2015 Nationals: Green Generation-1st
2015 Swap Meet: Cheese Hat
2016 States: Green Gen-1st, Exp Des-5th, Scrambler-6th
2016 Nationals: Green Generation-1st

ampy1234567
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby ampy1234567 » May 26th, 2016, 2:07 pm

20. Chippewa
Dang one off
Mounds View High School, 10th grade

2016 Nationals: Dynamic (2), Disease (6), Crave (8), Fossils (22)
2017 Nationals: Disease (1), Dynamic (2), Optics (5)

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Fanglin
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby Fanglin » May 31st, 2016, 9:00 am

46. Northshore
Yes! My team got 38th instead of your predicted 46th! Wow! We are so good! (Sarcasm)
Did you have green competition t-shirts? I think I met your coach, who I traded a bunch of small Wisconsin magnets and pins with, in trade for some pins, and some boeing postcards. She was really awesome, and shares a huge passion for aviation with me!
Problems are better pursued with General Electric GE90-115 engines.

2016 Nats:
Road Scholar:4th 8-)
Bottle Rockets: 9th
Meteorology: 11th
Gliders: 21st

(other events: Green Gen, Crime Busters, Helicopters, Hovercraft, Air trajectory)

Former Cheesehead

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Fanglin
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby Fanglin » May 31st, 2016, 9:01 am

Hamilton did 4 places better than expected (according to the list)!
Problems are better pursued with General Electric GE90-115 engines.

2016 Nats:
Road Scholar:4th 8-)
Bottle Rockets: 9th
Meteorology: 11th
Gliders: 21st

(other events: Green Gen, Crime Busters, Helicopters, Hovercraft, Air trajectory)

Former Cheesehead

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Zioly
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby Zioly » May 31st, 2016, 5:41 pm

46. Northshore
Yes! My team got 38th instead of your predicted 46th! Wow! We are so good! (Sarcasm)
Did you have green competition t-shirts? I think I met your coach, who I traded a bunch of small Wisconsin magnets and pins with, in trade for some pins, and some boeing postcards. She was really awesome, and shares a huge passion for aviation with me!
They were blue, but yes, I completely agree, our coach is the most polite person I have ever met! Didn't know she was into aviation though! I guess you learn something new in SO every day... :D
Bottle Rockets: 5th
Ecology: 9th
Hovercraft: 14th
Scrambler: 29th (with a failed run too  ;))
Mousetrap Vehicle
Hovercraft
Ecology
Experimental Design (or other inquiry :P)

...Yes, my profile picture is G2 apEX at the PGL Major Qual.  :lol:

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Fanglin
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Re: Unofficial Rankings B

Postby Fanglin » June 6th, 2016, 10:49 am


Yes! My team got 38th instead of your predicted 46th! Wow! We are so good! (Sarcasm)
Did you have green competition t-shirts? I think I met your coach, who I traded a bunch of small Wisconsin magnets and pins with, in trade for some pins, and some boeing postcards. She was really awesome, and shares a huge passion for aviation with me!
They were blue, but yes, I completely agree, our coach is the most polite person I have ever met! Didn't know she was into aviation though! I guess you learn something new in SO every day... :D
Yeah, She said that she worked for boeing by doing something for the slats on the 777.
Problems are better pursued with General Electric GE90-115 engines.

2016 Nats:
Road Scholar:4th 8-)
Bottle Rockets: 9th
Meteorology: 11th
Gliders: 21st

(other events: Green Gen, Crime Busters, Helicopters, Hovercraft, Air trajectory)

Former Cheesehead


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