Unofficial Rankings B

[kenniky]

Were the Div B results for the prediction contest even released?

[EastStroudsburg13]

Results were posted here! Only a few months late.

[Zioly]

25) Northshore

I'm flattered but... I don't think so lol.

[CMS AC]

(Deleted)

[EastStroudsburg13]

For your viewing pleasure, a top 60 prediction from the Excel document I have. Most of the bottom 30 can be considered my prediction, as I trust the computer more than myself, by and large.

1. Daniel Wright
2. Winston Churchill
3. Beckendorff
4. Meads Mill
5. Solon
6. Marie Murphy
7. Tower Heights
8. Piedmont
9. Longfellow
10. Springhouse
11. Ladue
12. Paul J. Gelinas
13. Eagle Hill
14. Baker
15. Hamilton
16. Dodgen
17. Oak Valley
18. Chippewa
19. Shady Side
20. Community
21. Thomas Jefferson
22. Auburn
23. Fred J. Carnage
24. Preston
25. Fulton Science Academy
26. Highlands
27. A.W. Coolidge
28. Wydown
29. H.B. DuPont
30. Russell Independent
31. Kealing
32. Lyme-Old Lyme
33. Bearden
34. Archimedean
35. Ames
36. Clinton
37. Bellevue Mission
38. North Bethesda
39. Fairfield
40. Northshore
41. Stoller
42. Wachter
43. California Trail
44. Orlando Science
45. Casady
46. Clancy
47. Paragon Science Academy
48. Hyde Park
49. Yankton
50. Albuquerque Area Home Schoolers
51. Colony
52. Treasure Valley Home School
53. Gallagher
54. Medomak
55. St. John Berchmans
56. Riverton
57. Germantown
58. Huntington
59. LISA Academy West
60. Walpole

[Tailsfan101]

52. Treasure Valley Home School

Aw, you make my heart break! I know it's tough to rank all 60, but this is almost cruel.

[Juanyjose]

Based on others predictions:

1) Daniel Wright 2) Beckendorff 3) Solon 4) Tower Heights 5) Winston Churchill 6) Meads Mill 7) Piedmont 8) Marie Murphy 9) Longfellow 10) Paul J. Gelinas 11) Springhouse 12) Ladue 13) Eagle Hill 14) Oak Valley 15) West Windsor-Plainsboro Community 16) Hamilton 17) Shady Side 18) Dodgen 19) Auburn 20) Archimedean 21) A. W. Coolidge 22) Baker 23) Chippewa 24) Fred J. Carnage 25) Bearden 26) H. B. Dupont 27) Wydown 28) Kealing 29) Thomas Jefferson 30) Fairfield (Click to Show Hidden Text)

31) Northshore
32) Ames
33) Orlando
34) Paragon
35) Preston
36) California Trail
37) Lyme-Old Lyme
[spoiler]38) Treasure Valley[/spoiler]
39) North Bethesda
40) Russell Independent
41) Albuquerque
42) Casady
43) Stoller
44) Highlands
45) Fulton
46) Clinton
47) Hyde Park
48) Germantown
49) St. John Berchmans
50) Wachter
51) Huntington
52) LISA Academy West
53) Mission
54) Walpole
55) Clancy
56) Yankton
57) Gallagher
58) Medomak
59) Riverton
60) Colony

NOTE: After I used other's opinions, I basically went with the biggest states, with some exceptions. (Yes, you are free to correct me as much as you like.)

Rip wydown 27th

[Juanyjose]

Based on others predictions:

1) Daniel Wright 2) Beckendorff 3) Solon 4) Tower Heights 5) Winston Churchill 6) Meads Mill 7) Piedmont 8) Marie Murphy 9) Longfellow 10) Paul J. Gelinas 11) Springhouse 12) Ladue 13) Eagle Hill 14) Oak Valley 15) West Windsor-Plainsboro Community 16) Hamilton 17) Shady Side 18) Dodgen 19) Auburn 20) Archimedean 21) A. W. Coolidge 22) Baker 23) Chippewa 24) Fred J. Carnage 25) Bearden 26) H. B. Dupont 27) Wydown 28) Kealing 29) Thomas Jefferson 30) Fairfield (Click to Show Hidden Text)

31) Northshore
32) Ames
33) Orlando
34) Paragon
35) Preston
36) California Trail
37) Lyme-Old Lyme
[spoiler]38) Treasure Valley[/spoiler]
39) North Bethesda
40) Russell Independent
41) Albuquerque
42) Casady
43) Stoller
44) Highlands
45) Fulton
46) Clinton
47) Hyde Park
48) Germantown
49) St. John Berchmans
50) Wachter
51) Huntington
52) LISA Academy West
53) Mission
54) Walpole
55) Clancy
56) Yankton
57) Gallagher
58) Medomak
59) Riverton
60) Colony

NOTE: After I used other's opinions, I basically went with the biggest states, with some exceptions. (Yes, you are free to correct me as much as you like.)

Rip wydown 27th

What's the whole thing about new teams never doing good? Kinda like beginners bad luck or something? We bombed a lot of events at state too, we were surprised we got past Pembroke.

[JasperKota]

Aw, you make my heart break! I know it's tough to rank all 60, but this is almost cruel.

Rip wydown 27th

Makes for a good incentive to surprise everyone and do really well I guess

[EastStroudsburg13]

What's the whole thing about new teams never doing good? Kinda like beginners bad luck or something? We bombed a lot of events at state too, we were surprised we got past Pembroke.

It's not that they never do well; it just tends to happen that they do worse than a multi-year defending team had done in the previous years. There are a few examples in both divisions from last year:

• Bala Cynwyd (PA B) (Granted they were only one place down of Shady Side's 16th in 2015)
• North Bethesda (MD B)
• Galaxy (FL B)
• Ward Melville (NY C)
• Troy (MI C)
• Carmel (IN C)
• Bothell (WA C) (Technically equaled Camas's 29th, but was below Camas's historical range)
• South Windsor (CT C)
• Bedford (NH C)
• Waterville (ME C) (Granted, only down by two from Waynflete's 48th
• St. Mary's Academy (OR C)
• Oxford (MS C)

The only major exceptions were California Trail (KS B) and Capital (ID C). So yes, it does happen, but traditionally teams that break a team's big streak tend not to do as well as that team had in the past. There are, of course, natural explanations for this; a new team is much more likely to really get into the special events and pageantry surrounding nationals, whereas a team that experiences it year after year is more likely to just focus on the events themselves. And I also think that more new teams going to nationals is a really good thing, and something I love seeing. However, from a predictions perspective, it's more likely that a team that's qualifying for the first time will not do quite as well as the teams that preceded it, just from historical results.