Hi, I was wondering if anyone could please explain how to find the predicted date of exposure based on just an epi-curve? (with no info about the actual disease). Thanks!!
That seems impossible unless you have some knowledge of the incubation period of the disease so that you can count back from the peak of the epidemic (assuming a point source epi-curve)
(Disclaimer: I don't know how true this is) I've read somewhere that the units of the x axis (the time) is equal to 1/4 to 1/3 of the incubation period of the disease. Say for example the units on the bottom of an epi-curve is 4 days between each mark (ex. month is January, and starts with 3, then 7, then 11, etc), then the incubation period for the disease is likely 9 to 12 days, and from there you can count back 9 to 12 days from the peak of the epidemic and find the predicted date of exposure?
warning im also really bad at this event don't take this into account 100%