MIT showed that LASA and Clements have definite weaknesses this year, so I think 7L will make it out of TX again.
Texas competitor here.
I disagree completely; if anything, MIT showed that Clements is stronger than it has been in the last 3 years. Looking at Clements' performance at MIT from 2017 and 2018, they tend to bomb pure build events as well as events like WIDI, which tanks their overall team placing. However, their placings in other events remain pretty competitive which the other top teams present. Furthermore, at state, they end up dropping these events anyway (because Texas allows each team to drop up to 5 events) so preparing for them throughout the year doesn't matter.
Now looking at their performance at MIT this year, they completely blew everyone out of the water in the events that they didn't bomb, medaling in 15 events
. That level of success is nothing short of frightening for the other Texas teams, especially considering that they likely won't be competing in the events that they bombed.
LASA looks to be more well rounded in their events and would probably perform better at nationals because of that, but it's pretty clear that Clements has tons of talent and specializes in a lot more events. As for Seven Lakes, it's hard to tell at this point. Their performance at Texas invitationals isn't really a good indicator so we'll have to wait for SOUP to make sense of where they stand.
However, if I had to rank the likelihood of each of these three teams of making it to nats with the information we have, it would be Clements first, then LASA, then Seven Lakes.