FM has gotten first every year for something like ten years. However, their reign may soon fall.
I certainly admire your optimism, but just by patterns, if you wanted a year where FM was weak, that was last year. Now their team will be a majority in juniors as opposed to sophomores. Still that doesn't mean you can't beat them, but they won't be a pushover.
And to clarify I think FM has a 11 year record for first (pretty sure on that). The year before that they got 2nd, and they hadn't gone to nationals before that 2nd place.