Disease Detectives B/C

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F » August 4th, 2019, 4:26 pm

astercats7 wrote:Hi, I was wondering if anyone could please explain how to find the predicted date of exposure based on just an epi-curve? (with no info about the actual disease). Thanks!!

That seems impossible unless you have some knowledge of the incubation period of the disease so that you can count back from the peak of the epidemic (assuming a point source epi-curve)

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby Anomaly » August 4th, 2019, 4:53 pm

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
astercats7 wrote:Hi, I was wondering if anyone could please explain how to find the predicted date of exposure based on just an epi-curve? (with no info about the actual disease). Thanks!!

That seems impossible unless you have some knowledge of the incubation period of the disease so that you can count back from the peak of the epidemic (assuming a point source epi-curve)

(Disclaimer: I don't know how true this is) I've read somewhere that the units of the x axis (the time) is equal to 1/4 to 1/3 of the incubation period of the disease. Say for example the units on the bottom of an epi-curve is 4 days between each mark (ex. month is January, and starts with 3, then 7, then 11, etc), then the incubation period for the disease is likely 9 to 12 days, and from there you can count back 9 to 12 days from the peak of the epidemic and find the predicted date of exposure?

warning im also really bad at this event don't take this into account 100%
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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby astercats7 » August 4th, 2019, 5:49 pm

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
astercats7 wrote:Hi, I was wondering if anyone could please explain how to find the predicted date of exposure based on just an epi-curve? (with no info about the actual disease). Thanks!!

That seems impossible unless you have some knowledge of the incubation period of the disease so that you can count back from the peak of the epidemic (assuming a point source epi-curve)


That’s what I thought lol

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby astercats7 » August 4th, 2019, 5:50 pm

Anomaly wrote:
UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
astercats7 wrote:Hi, I was wondering if anyone could please explain how to find the predicted date of exposure based on just an epi-curve? (with no info about the actual disease). Thanks!!

That seems impossible unless you have some knowledge of the incubation period of the disease so that you can count back from the peak of the epidemic (assuming a point source epi-curve)

(Disclaimer: I don't know how true this is) I've read somewhere that the units of the x axis (the time) is equal to 1/4 to 1/3 of the incubation period of the disease. Say for example the units on the bottom of an epi-curve is 4 days between each mark (ex. month is January, and starts with 3, then 7, then 11, etc), then the incubation period for the disease is likely 9 to 12 days, and from there you can count back 9 to 12 days from the peak of the epidemic and find the predicted date of exposure?

warning im also really bad at this event don't take this into account 100%


Thank you so much!!

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby PeriodicPenguins82 » August 5th, 2019, 1:32 pm

This is my first year doing disease detectives, so I do not know much about this event other than what I read. However, it seems that the topic switches year to year. Does anyone know what the topic is for the 2019-2020 year?

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby Umaroth » August 5th, 2019, 2:26 pm

PeriodicPenguins82 wrote:This is my first year doing disease detectives, so I do not know much about this event other than what I read. However, it seems that the topic switches year to year. Does anyone know what the topic is for the 2019-2020 year?

I don't do this event, but I believe they stopped rotating topics
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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F » August 5th, 2019, 5:51 pm

Umaroth wrote:
PeriodicPenguins82 wrote:This is my first year doing disease detectives, so I do not know much about this event other than what I read. However, it seems that the topic switches year to year. Does anyone know what the topic is for the 2019-2020 year?

I don't do this event, but I believe they stopped rotating topics

As of 2019, there is no topic.

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby PeriodicPenguins82 » August 6th, 2019, 7:35 am

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
Umaroth wrote:
PeriodicPenguins82 wrote:This is my first year doing disease detectives, so I do not know much about this event other than what I read. However, it seems that the topic switches year to year. Does anyone know what the topic is for the 2019-2020 year?

I don't do this event, but I believe they stopped rotating topics

As of 2019, there is no topic.

Thank you!

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Re: Disease Detectives B/C

Postby PeriodicPenguins82 » August 6th, 2019, 7:36 am

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
Umaroth wrote:
PeriodicPenguins82 wrote:This is my first year doing disease detectives, so I do not know much about this event other than what I read. However, it seems that the topic switches year to year. Does anyone know what the topic is for the 2019-2020 year?

I don't do this event, but I believe they stopped rotating topics

As of 2019, there is no topic.

Thank you!


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