Pennsylvania 2019

waffletree
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby waffletree » May 8th, 2019, 5:22 am

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:waffletree - 65

ayyy look who made top 20 :D :D
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Unome
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby Unome » May 8th, 2019, 11:49 am

EastStroudsburg13 wrote:Here are the results from the 2019 PA Prediction Contest! We had a record number of participants this year, with 39 users submitting predictions for both divisions, and 65 users submitting at least one prediction. For these rankings, I have omitted my algorithm, but it is included in the rankings spreadsheet provided at the bottom of this post.

For B Division, scores were pretty high, as while the order of the teams was perhaps surprising, many people guessed 9 of the 10 teams correctly. The big spoiler was Orefield, who was picked by 42 teams and finished at 12th overall. Hershey was the least-picked team that made it, picked by 11 users.

The top 20 of 51 total guesses were as follows:
  1. Anomaly - 46
  2. EastStroudsburg13 - 44
  3. nendawen - 43
  4. jslocum - 42
  5. supernumerary07 - 42
  6. Tailsfan101 - 41
  7. Paypog - 39
  8. Flyingfish - 39
  9. dxu46 - 39
  10. IHateClouds - 39
  11. js18 - 39
  12. sciencekid27 - 39
  13. pb5754[] - 38
  14. sciolyperson1 - 38
  15. Longivitis - 38
  16. NotNewtAnymore - 38
  17. Cow481 - 37
  18. Tendan - 37
  19. hippo9 - 37
  20. ziqingliu - 37
Anomaly's score of 46 out of a possible 50 is likely a prediction contest record, as she had the entire top 10 correct aside from switching Harlan Rowe and Shady Side. Both builderguy135 and Pettywap guessed the correct score for the winning team, but builderguy also had the correct number of medals (unconfirmed if this is the first time someone has gotten both tiebreakers correct).

For C Division, scores were a bit lower, as there were a couple more surprises. Nobody guessed all 10 teams correctly, and only 13 guessed 9 of the 10 teams. The main spoilers were Northwestern Lehigh and North Pocono, which were both picked by 38 people. Garnet Valley was picked by 17 users, but State College Area was only picked by 5.

The top 20 of 51 total guesses were as follows:
  1. NotNewtAnymore - 39
  2. lavarball - 36
  3. sciolyrules107 - 36
  4. Longivitis - 36
  5. zsg11 - 35
  6. Tailsfan - 34
  7. Anomaly - 34
  8. catch-22 - 34
  9. EastStroudsburg13 - 34
  10. 1507* - 33
  11. nendawen - 33
  12. Flyingfish - 33
  13. Froggie - 33
  14. jaggie34 - 33
  15. Unome - 33
  16. pb5754[] - 32
  17. js18 - 32
  18. dxu46 - 32
  19. hippo9 - 32
  20. 21Cabbage - 32
NotNewtAnymore guessed 9 of the top 10, as well as 4 exact placements, to take the top spot. For good measure, they also guessed the score exactly correct (the only one to do so) and they were only one medal off. Only one person (snappybabby) put Harriton and Rustin as their top two, but they had four misses to finish with 25 points. And, in case you were wondering if tiebreakers were important, there was a 10-way tie at 32 points... and 17th through 20th had to be decided by medals, as all of them guessed 7 points off from the actual total of 81. There was a double tie at 33 points, so I chose to use number of top-10 teams selected as the third tiebreaker (sorry, Unome ;) ).

And finally, the top 25 of 64 overall entries were the following!
  1. Anomaly - 80
  2. EastStroudsburg13 - 78
  3. NotNewtAnymore - 77
  4. nendawen - 76
  5. Tailsfan101 - 75
  6. Longivitis - 74
  7. Flyingfish - 72
  8. dxu46 - 71
  9. js18 - 71
  10. sciolyrules107 - 71
  11. pb5754[] - 70
  12. hippo9 - 69
  13. Cow481 - 69
  14. Paypog - 69
  15. Unome - 69
  16. catch-22 - 68
  17. sciolyperson1 - 68
  18. Tendan - 68
  19. lavarball - 68
  20. vehicleguy - 68
  21. 21Cabbage - 67
  22. Here - 67
  23. Selundar - 66
  24. Froggie - 65
  25. waffletree - 65
Anomaly likely becomes just the third user to break the 80-point mark, after Jonboyage and xandra last year! Jonboyage maintains the record of 81 points. The top submitter to only predict one division, jslocum, finished at 39th overall with his 42 points. A shoutout goes to Pettywap for having the lowest combined Tiebreaker 1 score; their predictions of 92 points in B and 74 points in C resulted in a total difference of just 7 points, narrowly beating out Tailsfan's 8. sciolyperson1 was the only user to correctly guess the amount of medals in both divisions.

Here are the overall rankings in a viewable spreadsheet so you can see how you were scored. If you don't remember what you predicted and are curious, feel free to shoot me a PM or find me on IRC. Thanks for your participation and for another great year in PA SO!

It's very interesting that B scores are higher than C scores all around, since it's almost always the opposite.

Given the massive ties, maybe it's worth expanding to top 15 or something.
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby Anomaly » May 8th, 2019, 3:29 pm

oh lol. i won. that was unexpected. (woo close to perfect B predictions tho)
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby Paypog » June 9th, 2019, 7:28 pm

I think we won the great battle of state forums
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F » June 9th, 2019, 7:41 pm

Paypog wrote:I think we won the great battle of state forums

any bets on when pascioly.org will update from nats?

also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?

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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby CrayolaCrayon » June 10th, 2019, 6:58 am

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
Paypog wrote:I think we won the great battle of state forums

any bets on when pascioly.org will update from nats?

also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?


I predict late July or early August.
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F » June 10th, 2019, 11:34 am

CrayolaCrayon wrote:
UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
Paypog wrote:I think we won the great battle of state forums

any bets on when pascioly.org will update from nats?

also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?


I predict late July or early August.

I personally think the second one will never change

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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby Anomaly » June 10th, 2019, 12:11 pm

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:
CrayolaCrayon wrote:
UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:any bets on when pascioly.org will update from nats?

also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?


I predict late July or early August.

I personally think the second one will never change

to my knowledge it’s been there ever since i’ve done scioly... five years now?
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pepperonipi
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby pepperonipi » June 10th, 2019, 8:59 pm

UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?


Where is this typo? I've looked around the website and can't find it.
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Season Events:
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Image
Image
National Trial Event:
Image

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Unome
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby Unome » June 11th, 2019, 7:19 am

pepperonipi wrote:
UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?


Where is this typo? I've looked around the website and can't find it.

It's in the page title, displayed in the tab.
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby pepperonipi » June 11th, 2019, 8:46 am

Unome wrote:
pepperonipi wrote:
UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F wrote:also on when pascioly.org will change the typo in Science Olympiad?


Where is this typo? I've looked around the website and can't find it.

It's in the page title, displayed in the tab.


Ahh, ok. That explains why I couldn't find it in the actual website content...
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2019
Season Events:
Image
Image
Image
National Trial Event:
Image

Anomaly
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby Anomaly » June 26th, 2019, 8:34 am

Anyone notice that they fixed the typo on the state website??????
Orefield MS SO 2015-2018, Parkland HS SO 2019
Medal/Ribbon Count
Invitational: 25
Regional: 16
State: 5
Events:
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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby RoboMarth » June 26th, 2019, 8:58 am

Anomaly wrote:Anyone notice that they fixed the typo on the state website??????


Oh my gosh they actually did. In other news, the link to "2020 Invitational Host App" at the bottom of the page is broken (starts with an extra h in "hhttps://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdED0L6pEGv7wooaxoPRpYyJcRxGOC_q5KOD5eYB_PTnJmaRA/viewform"). fixed.

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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby UTF-8 U+6211 U+662F » June 26th, 2019, 1:50 pm

Anomaly wrote:Anyone notice that they fixed the typo on the state website??????


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Re: Pennsylvania 2019

Postby klastyioer » July 11th, 2019, 9:59 pm

yo anyone from sepa

legit all the photos that they take after ppl get awards, where do they even go?? ive been dying to know for forever and i still havent found them
honestly, it's not about the medals. go out there and have fun. make progress, learn a few things, have one heck of a time, because that's all that matters.
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